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한국수자원학회논문집 Vol. 55 No. 9전체 목록 바로가기Vol 목록 바로가기
누가차분법을 통한 가뭄 빈도유입량 산정에 관한 이론적 고찰 / Theoretical analysis of quantification of drought frequency inflow series via K-water cumulative difference method  PDF
저자명
김지흔; 이재황; 김영오
발행사
한국수자원학회
수록사항
한국수자원학회논문집, Vol. 55 No. 9(2022-09)
페이지
시작페이지(701)
ISSN
1226-8746
요약

Reliable drought inflow scenarios are required to plan reservoirs in response to the present severe drought-like conditions. However, the previously developed method for generating drought inflows, the K-water cumulative difference method (KCM), is considered inadequate owing to its potential for negative inflow, reversal phenomena, and overestimation. Nevertheless, the occurrence of these aspects has not been theoretically analyzed. Hence, this study employed the quantile function and frequency factor for log-normal and Gumbel distributions to quantify the contributing factors of these limitations. Consequently, it was found that the negative inflows are generated when the difference in the location parameters, during the accumulation process, exceeds that of the scale parameters. In addition, as the standard deviation decrease during the accumulation process, the reversal phenomena, and inflated values prevailed.